Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Islamabad 2, hard - Final

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday


	Muhammad Shoaib		Arvid Nordquist

	1	2
	1.69	2.05
	1.78	2.06
	1.72	1.98	Watch
	1.7	2
	1.71	1.99	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (2.07)	2.02 ↑ (1.65)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Muhammad Shoaib
54%

Arvid Nordquist
46%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

55.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8%

64.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Muhammad Shoaib has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Muhammad Shoaib's performance.

Arvid Nordquist has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arvid Nordquist might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Muhammad Shoaib than the current prediction. (-18.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Muhammad Shoaib that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arvid Nordquist than the current prediction. (+18.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arvid Nordquist could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Muhammad Shoaib - Arvid Nordquist Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Nordquist is ranked ATP: 1723.

Shoaib is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Nordquist has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Nordquist may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Muhammad Shoaib
ITF Tournaments
09.05.26	Edoardo Cherie Ligniere - Muhammad Shoaib	0:2 ✺
08.05.26	Kerem Yilmaz - Muhammad Shoaib	0:2 ✺
07.05.26	Adam Farag-Cao - Muhammad Shoaib	Farag-Cao A. Retired ✺
06.05.26	Muhammad Shoaib - Melih Anavatan	2:0 ✺
03.05.26	Muhammad Shoaib - Nikita Ianin	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WW?WW
- Arvid Nordquist
ITF Tournaments
09.05.26	Nikita Ianin - Arvid Nordquist	Ianin N. Retired ✺
08.05.26	Arvid Nordquist - Mert Naci Turker	2:0 ✺
07.05.26	Stevan Popovic - Arvid Nordquist	0:2 ✺
05.05.26	Arvid Nordquist - AbuBakar Talha	2:0 ✺
02.05.26	Arvid Nordquist - Nikita Ianin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 ?WWWL

Muhammad Shoaib - Arvid Nordquist: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide