Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Campinas, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 7 April 2026, Tuesday


	Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco		Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos

	1	2
			Watch
	1.28	3.3
	1.32	3.59
	1.29	3.25
	1.29	3.5
	1.29	3.27	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.55)	3.38 ↑ (2.26)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco
72.3%

Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.4%

40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.7%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco's performance.

Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco - Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Dellien Velasco is ranked ATP: 309. Saraiva Dos Santos is ranked ATP: 588.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Dellien Velasco may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Dellien Velasco could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Dellien Velasco won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco - the odds 1.55 are the expected chance of winning is 59.35%, but this team recently wins 47% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco
ATP Challenger
03.04.26	Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco - Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos	0:2 ✺
01.04.26	Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco - Johan Nikles	2:0 ✺
31.03.26	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco	0:2 ✺
23.03.26	Juan Bautista Torres - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco	2:1 ✺
19.03.26	Alex Barrena - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LWWLL
- Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos
ATP Challenger
04.04.26	Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos - Facundo Diaz Acosta	0:2 ✺
03.04.26	Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco - Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos	0:2 ✺
01.04.26	Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez - Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos	1:2 ✺
30.03.26	Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos - Gonzalo Bueno	2:1 ✺
23.03.26	Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi - Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.3 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
03.04.26	Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco - Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos	0:2

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