Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Brisbane, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 15 July 2026, Wednesday


	Mutsumi Uemura		Belle Thompson

	1	2
	1.33	2.95
	1.41	2.70
	1.36	3.18
	1.35	2.9	Watch
	1.34	3.10
	1.38	2.81	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.43)	2.94 ↑ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mutsumi Uemura
68.3%

Belle Thompson
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.2%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mutsumi Uemura has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Belle Thompson has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mutsumi Uemura than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mutsumi Uemura that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belle Thompson than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Belle Thompson could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mutsumi Uemura - Belle Thompson Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Uemura is ranked WTA: 1030. Thompson is ranked WTA: 714.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Thompson may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Uemura will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mutsumi Uemura
ITF Tournaments
13.07.26	Mutsumi Uemura - I Wen Wan	2:0 ✺
23.06.26	Mutsumi Uemura - Rira Kosaka	0:2 ✺
18.06.26	Mutsumi Uemura - Sae Noguchi	0:2 ✺
17.06.26	Mutsumi Uemura - Yuhan Liu	2:1 ✺
16.06.26	Stefi Webb - Mutsumi Uemura	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLLWW
- Belle Thompson
ITF Tournaments
14.07.26	Eva Lopez - Belle Thompson	0:2 ✺
23.06.26	Fangran Tian - Belle Thompson	2:0 ✺
17.06.26	Belle Thompson - Anna Kubareva	0:2 ✺
15.06.26	Belle Thompson - Celia Anson Sanchez	2:1 ✺
10.06.26	Belle Thompson - Angelina Voloshchuk	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WLLWL

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