Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Monastir 18, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 10 May 2025, Saturday


	Mwendwa Mbithi		Filippo Moroni

	1	2
	6.65	1.09
	4.84	1.16	Watch
	5	1.14
	5.2	1.13	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.42 ↑ (3.38)	1.13 ↓ (1.31)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mwendwa Mbithi
17.2%

Filippo Moroni
82.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.9%

72.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9%

72.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mwendwa Mbithi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mwendwa Mbithi's form might have worsened.

Filippo Moroni has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Filippo Moroni's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mwendwa Mbithi than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mwendwa Mbithi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Filippo Moroni than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Filippo Moroni, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Mwendwa Mbithi - Filippo Moroni Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Mbithi is ranked ATP: 964. Moroni is ranked ATP: 975.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

Moroni may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Moroni is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mbithi won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mwendwa Mbithi
ITF Tournaments
09.05.25	Naoya Honda - Mwendwa Mbithi	0:2 ✺
08.05.25	Mwendwa Mbithi - Igor Marcondes	2:0 ✺
06.05.25	Mwendwa Mbithi - Yassine Smiej	2:0 ✺
30.04.25	Maxim Zhukov - Mwendwa Mbithi	0:2 ✺
23.04.25	Dan Added - Mwendwa Mbithi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WWWWL
- Filippo Moroni
ITF Tournaments
04.05.25	Cyril Vandermeersch - Filippo Moroni	1:2 ✺
03.05.25	Anas Mazdrashki - Filippo Moroni	0:2 ✺
02.05.25	Filippo Moroni - Dimitris Sakellaridis	2:0 ✺
30.03.25	Saba Purtseladze - Filippo Moroni	2:1 ✺
29.03.25	Filippo Moroni - Vadym Ursu	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
09.11.22	Mwendwa Mbithi - Filippo Moroni	0:2

Mwendwa Mbithi - Filippo Moroni: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide