Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Monastir 41, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday


	Nahia Berecoechea		Francesca Curmi

	1	2
	1.85	1.85
	1.88	1.93
	1.84	1.86	Watch
	1.91	1.8
	1.83	1.85	Watch
	1.83	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.51)	1.85 ↓ (2.3)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nahia Berecoechea
50%

Francesca Curmi
50%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.4%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.2%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nahia Berecoechea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nahia Berecoechea's form might have worsened.

Francesca Curmi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Francesca Curmi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nahia Berecoechea than the current prediction. (+14.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nahia Berecoechea, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francesca Curmi than the current prediction. (-14.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Francesca Curmi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Nahia Berecoechea - Francesca Curmi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Berecoechea is ranked WTA: 555. Curmi is ranked WTA: 371.

Berecoechea has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Curmi is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Curmi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

We predict that Curmi will win today's game, with odds of 1.8.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Berecoechea won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nahia Berecoechea
ITF Tournaments
12.12.25	Nahia Berecoechea - Sapfo Sakellaridi	2:0 ✺
11.12.25	Nahia Berecoechea - Camilla Gennaro	2:0 ✺
10.12.25	Nahia Berecoechea - Keisija Berzina	2:1 ✺
07.12.25	Nahia Berecoechea - Katherine Sebov	0:2 ✺
06.12.25	Adithya Karunaratne - Nahia Berecoechea	Berecoechea N. walkover ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWWL?
- Francesca Curmi
ITF Tournaments
12.12.25	Dune Vaissaud - Francesca Curmi	0:2 ✺
11.12.25	Mara Gae - Francesca Curmi	0:2 ✺
10.12.25	Abigayel Vosloo - Francesca Curmi	0:2 ✺
03.12.25	Francesca Curmi - Keisija Berzina	2:0 ✺
13.11.25	Francesca Curmi - Eva Bennemann	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
26.10.23	Nahia Berecoechea - Francesca Curmi	2:0

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