Match Info

Date: 3 October 2022, Monday


	Naoki Nakagawa		Ryan Peniston

	1	2
	4.5	1.18
	4.1	1.2
	4.6	1.18
	4.2	1.18
	4.4	1.22
	4.5	1.17
	4.25	1.19	Watch
	4.4	1.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.37 ↑ (2.89)	1.19 ↓ (1.35)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Naoki Nakagawa
21.4%

Ryan Peniston
78.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

68.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5%

68.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Naoki Nakagawa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Naoki Nakagawa's form might have worsened.

Ryan Peniston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ryan Peniston's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naoki Nakagawa than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Naoki Nakagawa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ryan Peniston than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ryan Peniston, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Naoki Nakagawa - Ryan Peniston Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Nakagawa will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Peniston will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Peniston could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Peniston is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Naoki Nakagawa
ATP Challenger
02.10.22	Naoki Nakagawa - Robert Galloway	2:0 ✺
25.09.22	August Holmgren - Naoki Nakagawa	2:1 ✺
21.09.22	Aleksandar Vukic - Naoki Nakagawa	2:1 ✺
20.09.22	Ezekiel Clark - Naoki Nakagawa	0:2 ✺
19.09.22	Naoki Nakagawa - Roy Smith	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLLWW
- Ryan Peniston
ATP Seoul
26.09.22	Nicolas Jarry - Ryan Peniston	2:0 ✺
24.09.22	Ryan Peniston - Tung-Lin Wu	0:2 ✺
23.09.22	Ryan Peniston - Jea Moon Lee	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.09.22	Dominic Thiem - Ryan Peniston	2:0 ✺
13.09.22	Antoine Escoffier - Ryan Peniston	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLWLW

Naoki Nakagawa - Ryan Peniston: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide