Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: INDIAN WELLS (USA), HARD - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 7 March 2024, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: INDIAN WELLS (USA) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	10:40	beIN Sports
Bosnia And Herzegovina	00:40	SportKlub
Brazil	20:40	ESPN 2
Croatia	00:40	SportKlub
Czech Republic	00:40	CANAL+ Sport 2
Germany	00:40	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Poland	00:40	SportKlub
Romania	01:40	Digi Sport 2
Serbia	00:40	SportKlub


	Naomi Osaka		Sara Errani

	1	2
	1.22	4.33	Watch
	1.22	4.1
	1.2	4.6	Watch
	1.22	4.76
	1.22	4.77
	1.22	4.2
	1.2	4.63	Watch
	1.21	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.21 ↓ (1.33)	4.47 ↑ (3.36)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Naomi Osaka
78.7%

Sara Errani
21.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

71.7%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.7%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Naomi Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Naomi Osaka's performance.

Sara Errani has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sara Errani might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naomi Osaka than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Naomi Osaka that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sara Errani than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sara Errani could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.4%	0%	17.6%

Naomi Osaka - Sara Errani Predictions

Users Predictions: Naomi Osaka will win (14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.23% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Osaka is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Errani is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Errani could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Osaka is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Osaka won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Naomi Osaka
WTA Doha
15.02.24	Naomi Osaka - Karolina Pliskova	0:2 ✺
14.02.24	Lesia Tsurenko - Naomi Osaka	Osaka N. walkover ✺
13.02.24	Petra Martic - Naomi Osaka	0:2 ✺
12.02.24	Naomi Osaka - Caroline Garcia	2:0 ✺
WTA Abu Dhabi
06.02.24	Naomi Osaka - Danielle Collins	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 L?WWL
- Sara Errani
WTA Indian Wells
05.03.24	Sara Errani - Arina Rodionova	2:0 ✺
03.03.24	Sara Errani - Aleksandra Krunic	2:0 ✺
WTA Dubai
17.02.24	Xiyu Wang - Sara Errani	2:0 ✺
16.02.24	Sara Errani - Ipek Oz	2:0 ✺
16.02.24	Sara Errani - Danielle Collins	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWLW?

Latest Head to Head

WTA Miami
25.03.16	Sara Errani - Naomi Osaka	0:2

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Naomi Osaka
WTA Tokyo
29.10.26	Naomi Osaka - Mia Pohankova	✺

Naomi Osaka - Sara Errani