Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Hong Kong 2, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 2 July 2025, Wednesday


	Naomi Xu		Ikumi Yamazaki

	1	2
	4	1.19
	5.83	1.11
			Watch
	4.33	1.2
	4.52	1.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.67 ↑ (3.38)	1.17 ↓ (1.31)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Naomi Xu
20%

Ikumi Yamazaki
80%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.9%

72.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30%

70%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Naomi Xu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Naomi Xu's form might have worsened.

Ikumi Yamazaki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ikumi Yamazaki's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naomi Xu than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Naomi Xu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ikumi Yamazaki than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ikumi Yamazaki, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Xu is ranked WTA: 1316. Yamazaki is ranked WTA: 428.

Recent performances by Xu have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Yamazaki is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Yamazaki may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Yamazaki is the undisputed favorite.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Naomi Xu
ITF Tournaments
01.07.25	Ching Laam Lai - Naomi Xu	0:2 ✺
25.06.25	Rinko Matsuda - Naomi Xu	2:1 ✺
24.06.25	Laalitya Kalluri - Naomi Xu	0:2 ✺
28.05.25	Sara Dols - Naomi Xu	2:0 ✺
27.05.25	Bruna Liotto de Carvalho - Naomi Xu	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLWLW
- Ikumi Yamazaki
ITF Tournaments
02.07.25	Ramu Ueda - Ikumi Yamazaki	0:2 ✺
23.06.25	Alisa Kummel - Ikumi Yamazaki	2:0 ✺
16.06.25	Jiaqi Wang - Ikumi Yamazaki	2:1 ✺
10.06.25	Ikumi Yamazaki - Yufei Ren	0:2 ✺
22.05.25	Ikumi Yamazaki - Misaki Matsuda	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 WLLLL

Naomi Xu - Ikumi Yamazaki: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide