Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Vero Beach, FL, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 April 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Vero Beach 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Nathan Ponwith		Karl Poling

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Nathan Ponwith
29.2%

Karl Poling
70.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

29.5%

70.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6%

72.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nathan Ponwith has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Karl Poling has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nathan Ponwith than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karl Poling than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Ponwith is ranked ATP: 816. Poling is ranked ATP: 588.

Ponwith is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Poling is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ponwith could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Poling is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nathan Ponwith
ITF Tournaments
27.03.25	Andres Martin - Nathan Ponwith	2:0 ✺
25.03.25	Nathan Ponwith - Ian Mayew	2:0 ✺
19.03.25	Alex Rybakov - Nathan Ponwith	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.03.25	Chun Hsin Tseng - Nathan Ponwith	2:1 ✺
24.02.25	Andres Martin - Nathan Ponwith	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LWLLL
- Karl Poling
ATP Challenger
15.04.25	Mathys Erhard - Karl Poling	2:1 ✺
14.04.25	Karl Poling - Marc Polmans	2:1 ✺
13.04.25	Gabi Adrian Boitan - Karl Poling	1:2 ✺
06.04.25	Karl Poling - Petr Nesterov	0:2 ✺
23.03.25	Karl Poling - Elmar Ejupovic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LWWLL

Nathan Ponwith - Karl Poling