Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Sapporo, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 18 June 2025, Wednesday


	Natsuki Yoshimoto		Kayo Nishimura

	1	2
	1.45	2.5
	1.45	2.62
			Watch
	1.53	2.38
	1.49	2.47	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (2.09)	2.49 ↑ (1.69)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Natsuki Yoshimoto
62.7%

Kayo Nishimura
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

55.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

55.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Natsuki Yoshimoto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Natsuki Yoshimoto's performance.

Kayo Nishimura has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kayo Nishimura might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Natsuki Yoshimoto than the current prediction. (-17.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Natsuki Yoshimoto that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kayo Nishimura than the current prediction. (+17.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kayo Nishimura could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Yoshimoto is ranked WTA: 1214. Nishimura is ranked WTA: 916.

Yoshimoto has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Nishimura is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Nishimura may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Yoshimoto might have a minor edge in this game.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Natsuki Yoshimoto
ITF Tournaments
16.06.25	Stefi Webb - Natsuki Yoshimoto	0:2 ✺
04.06.25	Saki Imamura - Natsuki Yoshimoto	2:0 ✺
13.05.25	Lizette Cabrera - Natsuki Yoshimoto	2:1 ✺
07.05.25	Miho Kuramochi - Natsuki Yoshimoto	2:1 ✺
05.05.25	Junri Namigata - Natsuki Yoshimoto	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLLLW
- Kayo Nishimura
ITF Tournaments
17.06.25	Kanon Sawashiro - Kayo Nishimura	1:2 ✺
06.06.25	Saki Imamura - Kayo Nishimura	2:0 ✺
05.06.25	Nagi Hanatani - Kayo Nishimura	0:2 ✺
04.06.25	Kisa Yoshioka - Kayo Nishimura	1:2 ✺
03.06.25	Yuka Hosoki - Kayo Nishimura	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLWWW

Natsuki Yoshimoto - Kayo Nishimura: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide