Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W75 Kyoto, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 11 March 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Kyoto 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Natsumi Kawaguchi		Kyoka Okamura

	1	2
			Watch
	2.2	1.6
	2.26	1.65
	2.14	1.63	Watch
	2.2	1.57
	2.14	1.64	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (1.84)	1.62 ↓ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Natsumi Kawaguchi
42.5%

Kyoka Okamura
57.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6%

53.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Natsumi Kawaguchi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Natsumi Kawaguchi's form might have worsened.

Kyoka Okamura has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kyoka Okamura's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Natsumi Kawaguchi than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kyoka Okamura than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Natsumi Kawaguchi - Kyoka Okamura Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kawaguchi is ranked WTA: 461. Okamura is ranked WTA: 302.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Okamura may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Natsumi Kawaguchi - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Kyoka Okamura - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Natsumi Kawaguchi
ITF Tournaments
10.03.26	Natsumi Kawaguchi - Mei Yamaguchi	2:0 ✺
09.02.26	Natsumi Kawaguchi - Yexin Ma	0:2 ✺
04.02.26	Yexin Ma - Natsumi Kawaguchi	2:0 ✺
02.02.26	Natsumi Kawaguchi - Sarah Rokusek	2:0 ✺
15.01.26	Fangran Tian - Natsumi Kawaguchi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLLWL
- Kyoka Okamura
ITF Tournaments
10.03.26	Kyoka Okamura - Sofia Costoulas	2:0 ✺
03.03.26	Chengyiyi Yuan - Kyoka Okamura	2:0 ✺
04.02.26	Lin Zhu - Kyoka Okamura	2:0 ✺
03.02.26	Kyoka Okamura - Sarah Mildren	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
27.01.26	Donna Vekic - Kyoka Okamura	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WLLWL

Natsumi Kawaguchi - Kyoka Okamura

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Natsumi Kawaguchi - Kyoka Okamura Predictions

Preview

Last Results with these Odds

Form

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