Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W100 Incheon, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 24 September 2025, Wednesday


	Natsumi Kawaguchi		Ya-Hsuan Lee

	1	2
			Watch
	2	1.72
	1.77	1.97
	1.72	1.98	Watch
	1.77	1.94	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (1.83)	1.9 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Natsumi Kawaguchi
51.2%

Ya-Hsuan Lee
48.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Natsumi Kawaguchi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Ya-Hsuan Lee has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Natsumi Kawaguchi than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ya-Hsuan Lee than the current prediction. (+3%)

Natsumi Kawaguchi - Ya Hsuan Lee Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kawaguchi is ranked WTA: 624. Lee is ranked WTA: 871.

Recent performances by Kawaguchi have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Lee is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Lee may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

We predict that Lee will win today's game, with odds of 1.76.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Kawaguchi won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:0. (average 2:0).

Last Results with these Odds

Natsumi Kawaguchi - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Natsumi Kawaguchi
ITF Tournaments
11.09.25	Nana Kawagishi - Natsumi Kawaguchi	2:1 ✺
09.09.25	Yuka Hosoki - Natsumi Kawaguchi	0:2 ✺
03.09.25	Yuhan Wang - Natsumi Kawaguchi	2:0 ✺
03.09.25	Natsumi Kawaguchi - Momoko Kobori	2:0 ✺
07.08.25	Cherry Kim - Natsumi Kawaguchi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWLWL
- Ya-Hsuan Lee
ITF Tournaments
14.09.25	Ya-Hsuan Lee - Natsuki Yoshimoto	2:0 ✺
13.09.25	Ya-Hsuan Lee - Dabin Kim	2:0 ✺
12.09.25	Amy Zhu - Ya-Hsuan Lee	0:2 ✺
11.09.25	Cheuk Ying Shek - Ya-Hsuan Lee	1:2 ✺
09.09.25	Ya-Hsuan Lee - Mayuka Aikawa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
07.05.24	Natsumi Kawaguchi - Ya-Hsuan Lee	2:0
20.04.23	Ya-Hsuan Lee - Natsumi Kawaguchi	0:2
08.11.22	Ya-Hsuan Lee - Natsumi Kawaguchi	0:2

Natsumi Kawaguchi - Ya-Hsuan Lee: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide