Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Selva Gardena (Italy), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 29 October 2024, Tuesday


	Niccolo Ciavarella		Michele Ribecai

	1	2
	1.83	1.83
	1.97	1.71
	1.99	1.73	Watch
	1.83	1.83
	2.26	1.58	Watch
	1.97	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.84)	1.73 ↓ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Niccolo Ciavarella
46.7%

Michele Ribecai
53.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

49.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Niccolo Ciavarella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Michele Ribecai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Niccolo Ciavarella than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Michele Ribecai than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Niccolo Ciavarella - Michele Ribecai Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ciavarella is ranked ATP: 954. Ribecai is ranked ATP: 838.

Two players are in a poor body shape now.

Ciavarella could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Michele Ribecai - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50.05%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Niccolo Ciavarella
ITF Tournaments
17.10.24	Luka Mikrut - Niccolo Ciavarella	2:1 ✺
15.10.24	Nikola Djosic - Niccolo Ciavarella	0:2 ✺
02.10.24	Sebastian Gima - Niccolo Ciavarella	2:0 ✺
25.09.24	Niccolo Ciavarella - Altug Celikbilek	0:2 ✺
14.09.24	Niccolo Ciavarella - Dragos Nicolae Cazacu	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LWLLL
- Michele Ribecai
ITF Tournaments
14.10.24	Michele Ribecai - Kirill Kivattsev	1:2 ✺
01.10.24	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Michele Ribecai	2:1 ✺
10.09.24	Michele Ribecai - Andrea de Marchi	0:2 ✺
06.09.24	Leonardo Rossi - Michele Ribecai	2:0 ✺
05.09.24	Michele Ribecai - Ofek Shimanov	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLW

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