Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Padova (Italy), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 8 July 2024, Monday


	Nicolas Alvarez		Stefano DAgostino

	1	2
	1.61	2.13
	1.62	2.21
	1.62	2.15	Watch
	1.67	2.1
	1.67	2.11	Watch
	1.61	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.83)	2.14 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nicolas Alvarez
56.7%

Stefano DAgostino
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5%

50.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicolas Alvarez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nicolas Alvarez's performance.

Stefano DAgostino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Stefano DAgostino might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Alvarez than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nicolas Alvarez that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stefano DAgostino than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stefano DAgostino could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Nicolas Alvarez - Stefano DAgostino Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Alvarez is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches DAgostino is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Alvarez could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicolas Alvarez
ATP Challenger
17.06.24	Nicolas Alvarez - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco	Canceled ✺
11.06.24	Nicolas Alvarez - Diego Augusto Barreto Sanchez	0:2 ✺
03.06.24	Nicolas Alvarez - Nicolas Zanellato	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
15.05.24	Alexander Stater - Nicolas Alvarez	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.05.24	Nicolas Alvarez - Gonzalo Bueno	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 ?LLLL
- Stefano DAgostino
ITF Tournaments
28.06.24	Juan Pablo Paz - Stefano DAgostino	2:0 ✺
27.06.24	Stefano DAgostino - Felipe Virgili Berini	D'Agostino S. retired ✺
25.06.24	Gabriele Bosio - Stefano DAgostino	1:2 ✺
20.06.24	Stefano DAgostino - Giovanni Oradini	0:2 ✺
19.06.24	Francesco Forti - Stefano DAgostino	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 L?WLW

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