Match Info

Date: 5 August 2022, Friday


	Nicolas Alvarez Varona		Nuno Borges

	1	2
	4.5	1.18	Watch
	4.75	1.15
	5.4	1.16
	4.5	1.15
	5.36	1.16
	5	1.14
	4.95	1.16	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.92 ↑ (3.26)	1.16 ↓ (1.32)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nicolas Alvarez Varona
19%

Nuno Borges
81%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.8%

71.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.7%

72.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicolas Alvarez Varona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nicolas Alvarez Varona's form might have worsened.

Nuno Borges has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nuno Borges's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolas Alvarez Varona than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nicolas Alvarez Varona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nuno Borges than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nuno Borges, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
89.3%	0%	10.7%

Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Nuno Borges Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Alvarez Varona will win (votes: 25 - 89.3%). Borges will win (votes: 3 - 10.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alvarez Varona: 77.9% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Alvarez Varona is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Borges is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Alvarez Varona could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Borges is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Alvarez Varona won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicolas Alvarez Varona
ATP Challenger
03.08.22	Cedrik-Marcel Stebe - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	1:2 ✺
02.08.22	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Daniel Siniakov	2:0 ✺
25.07.22	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Antoine Bellier	1:2 ✺
19.07.22	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Vasek Pospisil	0:2 ✺
12.07.22	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Pablo Andujar-Alba	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWLLL
- Nuno Borges
ATP Challenger
03.08.22	Fabian Marozsan - Nuno Borges	0:2 ✺
01.08.22	Timofey Skatov - Nuno Borges	0:2 ✺
29.07.22	Nuno Borges - Ugo Humbert	0:2 ✺
28.07.22	Nuno Borges - Alibek Kachmazov	2:0 ✺
26.07.22	Nuno Borges - Mirza Basic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
12.09.20	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Nuno Borges	0:2

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