Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tiburon (USA), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 1 October 2024, Tuesday


	Nicolas Mejia		Christian Langmo

	1	2
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.42	2.65
	1.37	2.85	Watch
	1.42	2.94
	1.39	2.87	Watch
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.39	2.85	Watch
	1.37	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.53)	2.88 ↑ (2.36)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nicolas Mejia
67.5%

Christian Langmo
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.6%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.6%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicolas Mejia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nicolas Mejia's performance.

Christian Langmo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Christian Langmo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Mejia than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nicolas Mejia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Christian Langmo than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Christian Langmo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Nicolas Mejia - Christian Langmo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Mejia is ranked ATP: 237. Langmo is ranked ATP: 479.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Mejia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Mejia will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicolas Mejia
ATP Challenger
30.09.24	Nicolas Mejia - Kyle Kang	2:0 ✺
29.09.24	Nicolas Mejia - Patrick Maloney	2:0 ✺
ATP Hangzhou
17.09.24	Mitchell Krueger - Nicolas Mejia	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
15.09.24	Yoshihito Nishioka - Nicolas Mejia	2:0 ✺
14.09.24	Kei Nishikori - Nicolas Mejia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WWLLL
- Christian Langmo
ATP Challenger
30.09.24	Gabi Adrian Boitan - Christian Langmo	1:2 ✺
29.09.24	Collin Altamirano - Christian Langmo	1:2 ✺
22.09.24	Trey Hilderbrand - Christian Langmo	2:0 ✺
16.09.24	Christian Langmo - Micah Braswell	0:2 ✺
15.09.24	Christian Langmo - Lorenzo Claverie	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWLLW

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