Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Matsuyama (Japan), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 November 2024, Monday


	Nicolas Moreno De Alboran		Tristan Schoolkate

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.55	2.3
	1.53	2.34	Watch
	1.57	2.42
	1.51	2.45	Watch
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.54	2.38	Watch
	1.53	2.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.85)	2.34 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nicolas Moreno De Alboran
60.2%

Tristan Schoolkate
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

51%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicolas Moreno De Alboran has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nicolas Moreno De Alboran's performance.

Tristan Schoolkate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tristan Schoolkate might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Moreno De Alboran than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nicolas Moreno De Alboran that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tristan Schoolkate than the current prediction. (+11.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tristan Schoolkate could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Nicolas Moreno De Alboran - Tristan Schoolkate Predictions

Users Predictions: Nicolas Moreno De Alboran will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Moreno De Alboran is ranked ATP: 123. Schoolkate is ranked ATP: 177.

Two players are playing changeable.

Schoolkate could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Nicolas Moreno De Alboran - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Tristan Schoolkate - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicolas Moreno De Alboran
ATP Challenger
31.10.24	Nicolas Moreno De Alboran - Jurij Rodionov	1:2 ✺
29.10.24	Nicolas Moreno De Alboran - Alexander Blockx	2:0 ✺
28.10.24	Nicolas Moreno De Alboran - Elias Ymer	2:1 ✺
12.10.24	Nicolas Moreno De Alboran - Jaime Faria	1:2 ✺
11.10.24	Nicolas Moreno De Alboran - Thiago Augustin Tirante	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWWLW
- Tristan Schoolkate
ATP Challenger
02.11.24	Tristan Schoolkate - Thanasi Kokkinakis	0:2 ✺
01.11.24	Omar Jasika - Tristan Schoolkate	1:2 ✺
29.10.24	Tibo Colson - Tristan Schoolkate	0:2 ✺
28.10.24	Jake Delaney - Tristan Schoolkate	0:2 ✺
24.10.24	Tristan Schoolkate - Masamichi Imamura	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWWWL

Nicolas Moreno De Alboran - Tristan Schoolkate: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide