Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 BUENOS AIRES (ARGENTINA), CLAY - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 18 January 2024, Thursday


	Nicole Fossa Huergo		Carolina Alves

	1	2
	1.8	1.87	Watch
	1.8	1.9
	1.81	1.93
	1.91	1.8
	1.73	2.01	Watch
	1.85	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (1.99)	1.89 ↑ (1.72)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nicole Fossa Huergo
51%

Carolina Alves
49%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1%

54.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicole Fossa Huergo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Carolina Alves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicole Fossa Huergo than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nicole Fossa Huergo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carolina Alves than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Carolina Alves could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Fossa Huergo is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Alves is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Fossa Huergo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Fossa Huergo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicole Fossa Huergo
ITF Tournaments
17.01.24	Luisina Giovannini - Nicole Fossa Huergo	0:2 ✺
15.01.24	Nicole Fossa Huergo - Noelia Zeballos	2:0 ✺
14.12.23	Maria Lourdes Carle - Nicole Fossa Huergo	2:0 ✺
13.12.23	Nicole Fossa Huergo - Justina Mikulskyte	2:0 ✺
12.12.23	Nicole Fossa Huergo - Ana Candiotto	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 WWLWW
- Carolina Alves
ITF Tournaments
17.01.24	Candela Vazquez - Carolina Alves	0:2 ✺
13.12.23	Selena Janicijevic - Carolina Alves	2:0 ✺
12.12.23	Jasmin Jebawy - Carolina Alves	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
05.12.23	Carolina Alves - Julia Riera	0:2 ✺
27.11.23	Carolina Alves - Conny Perrin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
28.09.23	Nicole Fossa Huergo - Carolina Alves	2:1

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