Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Heraklion 2 (Greece), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 October 2024, Wednesday


	Niels Visker		Bogdan Pavel

	1	2
	1.36	2.8
	1.32	3
	1.32	3.16
	1.33	3.06	Watch
	1.33	3.25
	1.33	3.09	Watch
	1.32	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.66)	3.05 ↑ (2.08)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Niels Visker
69.6%

Bogdan Pavel
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.6%

44.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Niels Visker has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Niels Visker's performance.

Bogdan Pavel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bogdan Pavel might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Niels Visker than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Niels Visker that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bogdan Pavel than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bogdan Pavel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Visker is ranked ATP: 526. Pavel is ranked ATP: 802.

Recent matches Visker is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Pavel is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Pavel could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Visker is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Niels Visker
ITF Tournaments
26.10.24	Orel Kimhi - Niels Visker	2:1 ✺
25.10.24	Niels Visker - Pavlo Tsitsipas	2:0 ✺
24.10.24	Niels Visker - Matic Dimic	2:0 ✺
23.10.24	Niels Visker - Vladyslav Orlov	2:1 ✺
17.10.24	Anton Matusevich - Niels Visker	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWWWL
- Bogdan Pavel
ATP Challenger
14.10.24	Kyle Edmund - Bogdan Pavel	2:1 ✺
13.10.24	Bogdan Pavel - Alexis Gautier	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
25.09.24	Bogdan Pavel - Francesco Ferrari	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.09.24	Arthur Gea - Bogdan Pavel	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
31.08.24	Bogdan Pavel - Dan Alexandru Tomescu	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWLLL

Niels Visker - Bogdan Pavel: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide