Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Darmstadt, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 16 July 2025, Wednesday


	Nina Vargova		Marie Vogt

	1	2
	1.33	3
	1.32	3.05
	1.36	2.96
			Watch
	1.36	3
	1.36	2.94	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.51)	2.99 ↑ (2.5)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nina Vargova
69%

Marie Vogt
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.3%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7%

39.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nina Vargova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nina Vargova's performance.

Marie Vogt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Marie Vogt might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nina Vargova than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nina Vargova that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marie Vogt than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marie Vogt could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Vargova is ranked WTA: 372. Vogt is ranked WTA: 539.

Vargova is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Vogt has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Vogt may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Vargova is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Vargova won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nina Vargova
ITF Tournaments
09.07.25	Ylena In-Albon - Nina Vargova	2:1 ✺
02.07.25	Nina Vargova - Maria Lourdes Carle	0:2 ✺
26.06.25	Nina Vargova - Diana Simionescu	1:2 ✺
25.06.25	Nina Vargova - Alexia Iancu	2:0 ✺
20.06.25	Nina Vargova - Lavinia Tanasie	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLLWL
- Marie Vogt
ITF Tournaments
09.07.25	Marie Vogt - Aneta Kucmova	0:2 ✺
03.07.25	Marie Vogt - Noma Akugue Noha	0:2 ✺
02.07.25	Radka Zelnickova - Marie Vogt	0:2 ✺
06.06.25	Marie Vogt - Alexis Blokhina	0:2 ✺
05.06.25	Tina Nadine Smith - Marie Vogt	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
22.03.24	Nina Vargova - Marie Vogt	2:0

Nina Vargova - Marie Vogt: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide