Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W75 Trnava 3, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 12 May 2026, Tuesday


	Nina Vargova		Matilde Jorge

	1	2
			Watch
	1.57	2.25
	1.55	2.49
	1.52	2.35	Watch
	1.5	2.38
	1.53	2.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.83)	2.36 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nina Vargova
60.6%

Matilde Jorge
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5%

54.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nina Vargova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nina Vargova's performance.

Matilde Jorge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Matilde Jorge might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nina Vargova than the current prediction. (-15.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nina Vargova that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matilde Jorge than the current prediction. (+15.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Matilde Jorge could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Nina Vargova - Matilde Jorge Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Games - Vargova (1.74) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Vargova (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Vargova is ranked WTA: 679. Jorge is ranked WTA: 249.

Vargova is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Jorge has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Jorge may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Vargova might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Vargova will win today's game, with odds of 1.53.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Vargova won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Nina Vargova - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 31% of matches with these odds.

Matilde Jorge - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nina Vargova
ITF Tournaments
10.05.26	Nina Vargova - Briana Szabo	2:0 ✺
09.05.26	Nina Vargova - Alja Senica	2:0 ✺
08.05.26	Natalija Senic - Nina Vargova	0:2 ✺
07.05.26	Melis Rasim - Nina Vargova	0:2 ✺
05.05.26	Yu Jun Lin - Nina Vargova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWWWW
- Matilde Jorge
ITF Tournaments
08.05.26	Matilde Jorge - Francesca Curmi	1:2 ✺
07.05.26	Matilde Jorge - Maria Aran Teixido Garcia	2:0 ✺
05.05.26	Matilde Jorge - Claudia Ferrer Perez	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
21.04.26	Matilde Jorge - Lucia Bronzetti	0:2 ✺
14.04.26	Anouk Koevermans - Matilde Jorge	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWWLL

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