Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Oeiras 4, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 21 April 2026, Tuesday


	Matilde Jorge		Lucia Bronzetti

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.65	1.42	Watch
	2.74	1.48
	2.74	1.4	Watch
	2.63	1.44
	2.69	1.41	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↑ (2.2)	1.43 ↓ (1.62)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matilde Jorge
34.5%

Lucia Bronzetti
65.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

57.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

50.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matilde Jorge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Matilde Jorge's form might have worsened.

Lucia Bronzetti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lucia Bronzetti's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matilde Jorge than the current prediction. (+14.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Matilde Jorge, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucia Bronzetti than the current prediction. (-14.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lucia Bronzetti, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Matilde Jorge - Lucia Bronzetti Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Jorge is ranked WTA: 235. Bronzetti is ranked WTA: 166.

Both players are currently in poor form.

Jorge may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Bronzetti could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matilde Jorge
ATP Challenger
14.04.26	Anouk Koevermans - Matilde Jorge	2:0 ✺
WTA Billie Jean King Cup Group I
08.04.26	Noma Akugue Noha - Matilde Jorge	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
25.03.26	Matilde Jorge - Anna Siskova	0:2 ✺
19.03.26	Matilde Jorge - Tatiana Prozorova	0:2 ✺
17.03.26	Matilde Jorge - Manon Leonard	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLLLW
- Lucia Bronzetti
ATP Challenger
24.03.26	Anhelina Kalinina - Lucia Bronzetti	2:1 ✺
11.03.26	Lucia Bronzetti - Nuria Brancaccio	0:2 ✺
05.03.26	Moyuka Uchijima - Lucia Bronzetti	2:0 ✺
04.03.26	Berfu Cengiz - Lucia Bronzetti	0:2 ✺
25.02.26	Despina Papamichail - Lucia Bronzetti	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLLWL

Matilde Jorge - Lucia Bronzetti: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide