The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Nino Serdarusic 42.1%
Bjorn Fratangelo 57.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.1%
49.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51%
49%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nino Serdarusic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nino Serdarusic's form might have worsened.
Bjorn Fratangelo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bjorn Fratangelo's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nino Serdarusic than the current prediction. (+8.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nino Serdarusic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bjorn Fratangelo than the current prediction. (-8.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bjorn Fratangelo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
38.5%
0%
61.5%
Nino Serdarusic - Bjorn Fratangelo Predictions
Users Predictions:
26 users predict this event. Serdarusic will win (votes: 10 - 38.5%). Fratangelo will win (votes: 16 - 61.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Fratangelo: 42.8% – 80.2%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
Serdarusic is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches Fratangelo is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Serdarusic could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Serdarusic won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.