Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tiburon (USA), hard - Semi-finals

Date: 5 October 2024, Saturday


	Nishesh Basavareddy		Jack Pinnington Jones

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.48	2.5	Watch
	1.42	2.65	Watch
	1.51	2.67
	1.51	2.65	Watch
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.47	2.56	Watch
	1.42	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↑ (1.37)	2.62 ↓ (2.77)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nishesh Basavareddy
64.1%

Jack Pinnington Jones
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.9%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.5%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nishesh Basavareddy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Jack Pinnington Jones has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nishesh Basavareddy than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nishesh Basavareddy, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jack Pinnington Jones than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jack Pinnington Jones, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Nishesh Basavareddy - Jack Pinnington Jones Predictions

Users Predictions: Nishesh Basavareddy will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Basavareddy is ranked ATP: 199. Pinnington Jones is ranked ATP: 443.

Basavareddy is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Pinnington Jones is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Basavareddy could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Basavareddy will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nishesh Basavareddy
ATP Challenger
04.10.24	Karue Sell - Nishesh Basavareddy	0:2 ✺
03.10.24	Nishesh Basavareddy - Brandon Holt	2:0 ✺
01.10.24	Nishesh Basavareddy - Bernard Tomic	2:1 ✺
29.09.24	Nishesh Basavareddy - Edas Butvilas	0:2 ✺
28.09.24	Christopher Eubanks - Nishesh Basavareddy	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWWLW
- Jack Pinnington Jones
ATP Challenger
04.10.24	Jack Pinnington Jones - Colton Smith	2:0 ✺
02.10.24	Tristan Schoolkate - Jack Pinnington Jones	0:2 ✺
30.09.24	Jack Pinnington Jones - Aidan Mayo	2:0 ✺
23.09.24	Alexis Galarneau - Jack Pinnington Jones	2:0 ✺
17.09.24	Jack Pinnington Jones - Naoki Nakagawa	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWWLL

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