Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Cervia (Italy), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 22 May 2024, Wednesday


	Noah Perfetti		Andrey Chepelev

	1	2
	1.72	1.95
	1.73	2
	1.74	1.99	Watch
	1.62	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.73)	2.02 ↑ (2)

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Noah Perfetti
54.2%

Andrey Chepelev
45.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

47.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Noah Perfetti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Andrey Chepelev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Noah Perfetti than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrey Chepelev than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Noah Perfetti - Andrey Chepelev Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Perfetti is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Chepelev is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Chepelev could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Noah Perfetti
ITF Tournaments
09.05.24	Noah Perfetti - Filip Cristian Jianu	0:2 ✺
08.05.24	Stijn Pel - Noah Perfetti	0:2 ✺
24.04.24	Maxime Chazal - Noah Perfetti	2:0 ✺
18.04.24	Kirill Kivattsev - Noah Perfetti	2:0 ✺
17.04.24	Dax Donders - Noah Perfetti	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWLLW
- Andrey Chepelev
ITF Tournaments
16.04.24	Jiri Barnat - Andrey Chepelev	2:0 ✺
10.04.24	Markus Molder - Andrey Chepelev	2:0 ✺
04.04.24	Andrey Chepelev - David Fix	1:2 ✺
03.04.24	Andrey Chepelev - Timofei Derepasko	2:0 ✺
28.03.24	Deney Wassermann - Andrey Chepelev	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLWL

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