Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Tolentino, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 15 September 2025, Monday


	Noemi Basiletti		Alice Rame

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.3	1.55
			Watch
	2.37	1.53	Watch
	2.26	1.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (2.25)	1.58 ↑ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Noemi Basiletti
40.7%

Alice Rame
59.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

58.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

60.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Noemi Basiletti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Alice Rame has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Noemi Basiletti than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alice Rame than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Noemi Basiletti - Alice Rame Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Rame (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Basiletti is ranked WTA: 502. Rame is ranked WTA: 268.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Rame may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Rame might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Noemi Basiletti
ITF Tournaments
11.09.25	Lina Gjorcheska - Noemi Basiletti	2:1 ✺
09.09.25	Laura Mair - Noemi Basiletti	1:2 ✺
25.08.25	Marina Bassols Ribera - Noemi Basiletti	2:0 ✺
21.08.25	Noemi Basiletti - Sofia Shapatava	0:2 ✺
19.08.25	Noemi Basiletti - Brandy Walker	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LWLLW
- Alice Rame
ITF Tournaments
05.09.25	Alice Rame - Lilli Tagger	0:2 ✺
04.09.25	Radka Zelnickova - Alice Rame	0:2 ✺
03.09.25	Claudia Gasparovic - Alice Rame	1:2 ✺
28.08.25	Loes Ebeling Koning - Alice Rame	2:0 ✺
27.08.25	Vlada Ekshibarova - Alice Rame	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWWLW

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