Match Info

Date: 16 September 2022, Friday


	Nuno Borges		Thiago Monteiro

	1	2
	1.9	1.8	Watch
	1.91	1.85
	1.83	1.98
	1.8	1.91
	1.72	2.16
	1.83	1.83
	1.92	1.88	Watch
	1.84	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (2.15)	1.92 ↑ (1.68)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nuno Borges
51%

Thiago Monteiro
49%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

56.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

55.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nuno Borges has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nuno Borges's performance.

Thiago Monteiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Thiago Monteiro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nuno Borges than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nuno Borges that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thiago Monteiro than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Thiago Monteiro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Nuno Borges - Thiago Monteiro Predictions

Users Predictions: Nuno Borges will win (13 of 13 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Borges won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nuno Borges
ATP US Open
31.08.22	Nuno Borges - Yibing Wu	2:3 ✺
29.08.22	Ben Shelton - Nuno Borges	2:3 ✺
26.08.22	Nuno Borges - Francesco Maestrelli	2:1 ✺
25.08.22	Nuno Borges - Govind Nanda	2:0 ✺
24.08.22	Nuno Borges - Alex Rybakov	Rybakov A. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LWWW?
- Thiago Monteiro
ATP US Open
31.08.22	Karen Khachanov - Thiago Monteiro	3:1 ✺
29.08.22	Alex Molcan - Thiago Monteiro	1:3 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
24.08.22	Thiago Monteiro - Benjamin Bonzi	0:2 ✺
22.08.22	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Thiago Monteiro	0:2 ✺
21.08.22	Denis Kudla - Thiago Monteiro	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
01.04.22	Thiago Monteiro - Nuno Borges	1:2

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