Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Santa Cruz (Bolivia), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 October 2024, Monday


	Nuria Brancaccio		Leyre Romero Gormaz

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.55	2.3
	1.56	2.28	Watch
	1.6	2.38
	1.59	2.38	Watch
	1.5	2.5
	1.57	2.31	Watch
	1.56	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.84)	2.34 ↑ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nuria Brancaccio
59.9%

Leyre Romero Gormaz
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5%

45.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nuria Brancaccio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nuria Brancaccio's performance.

Leyre Romero Gormaz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Leyre Romero Gormaz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nuria Brancaccio than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nuria Brancaccio that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leyre Romero Gormaz than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leyre Romero Gormaz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	0%	10%

Nuria Brancaccio - Leyre Romero Gormaz Predictions

Users Predictions: Nuria Brancaccio will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Brancaccio is ranked WTA: 203. Romero Gormaz is ranked WTA: 164.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Brancaccio won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Last Results with these Odds

Leyre Romero Gormaz - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nuria Brancaccio
ITF Tournaments
04.10.24	Kathinka Von Deichmann - Nuria Brancaccio	2:0 ✺
04.10.24	Nuria Brancaccio - Anca Alexia Todoni	2:1 ✺
01.10.24	Astra Sharma - Nuria Brancaccio	0:2 ✺
22.09.24	Nuria Brancaccio - Julie Struplova	1:2 ✺
21.09.24	Nuria Brancaccio - Lisa Zaar	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWWLW
- Leyre Romero Gormaz
ITF Tournaments
01.10.24	Oleksandra Oliynykova - Leyre Romero Gormaz	2:0 ✺
26.09.24	Leyre Romero Gormaz - Carole Monnet	0:2 ✺
21.09.24	Ella Seidel - Leyre Romero Gormaz	2:0 ✺
20.09.24	Leyre Romero Gormaz - Andreea Prisacariu	2:1 ✺
19.09.24	Leyre Romero Gormaz - Marie Benoit	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
21.10.23	Leyre Romero Gormaz - Nuria Brancaccio	2:0

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