Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 24 August 2025, Sunday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max


	Nuria Parrizas Diaz		Polina Kudermetova

	1	2
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.1	1.72
	2.19	1.65	Watch
	2.4	1.63
	2.20	1.67	Watch
	2	1.8
	2.22	1.68	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (1.93)	1.69 ↓ (1.93)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nuria Parrizas Diaz
43.6%

Polina Kudermetova
56.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

47.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nuria Parrizas Diaz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nuria Parrizas Diaz's form might have worsened.

Polina Kudermetova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Polina Kudermetova's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nuria Parrizas Diaz than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nuria Parrizas Diaz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polina Kudermetova than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Polina Kudermetova, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Nuria Parrizas Diaz - Polina Kudermetova Predictions

Users Predictions: Polina Kudermetova will win (18 of 20 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.85% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Polina Kudermetova will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Parrizas Diaz is ranked WTA: 135. Kudermetova is ranked WTA: 64.

In recent matches, Parrizas Diaz has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Kudermetova is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Parrizas Diaz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Parrizas Diaz won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nuria Parrizas Diaz
WTA Cleveland
17.08.25	Nuria Parrizas Diaz - Yafan Wang	1:2 ✺
16.08.25	Nuria Parrizas Diaz - Anna Danilina	2:0 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
05.08.25	Nuria Parrizas Diaz - Maddison Inglis	1:2 ✺
WTA Prague
22.07.25	Leolia Jeanjean - Nuria Parrizas Diaz	Parrizas-Diaz N. retired ✺
WTA Iasi
15.07.25	Nuria Parrizas Diaz - Irene Burillo Escorihuela	Parrizas-Diaz N. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWL??
- Polina Kudermetova
WTA Cleveland
19.08.25	Eva Lys - Polina Kudermetova	2:0 ✺
17.08.25	Katrina Scott - Polina Kudermetova	0:2 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
08.08.25	Polina Kudermetova - Ella Seidel	1:2 ✺
WTA Montreal
27.07.25	Suzan Lamens - Polina Kudermetova	2:1 ✺
WTA Washington
19.07.25	Polina Kudermetova - Alana Smith	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
11.10.24	Nuria Parrizas Diaz - Polina Kudermetova	0:2

Nuria Parrizas Diaz - Polina Kudermetova: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide