Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 9 (Italy), clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 3 October 2024, Thursday


	Oleksandr Ovcharenko		Gilles Arnaud Bailly

	1	2
	1.3	3.1
	1.32	3.05
	1.31	3.3
	1.32	3.08	Watch
	1.36	3
	1.34	3.04
	1.32	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.74)	3.09 ↑ (2.04)

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oleksandr Ovcharenko
70%

Gilles Arnaud Bailly
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.9%

46.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oleksandr Ovcharenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Oleksandr Ovcharenko's performance.

Gilles Arnaud Bailly has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gilles Arnaud Bailly might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oleksandr Ovcharenko than the current prediction. (-14.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Oleksandr Ovcharenko that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gilles Arnaud Bailly than the current prediction. (+14.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gilles Arnaud Bailly could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Gilles Arnaud Bailly Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ovcharenko is ranked ATP: 418. Bailly is ranked ATP: 620.

Ovcharenko is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Bailly is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bailly could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oleksandr Ovcharenko
ITF Tournaments
02.10.24	Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Daniele Rapagnetta	2:0 ✺
01.10.24	Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Kasra Rahmani	2:0 ✺
28.09.24	Carlos Sanchez Jover - Oleksandr Ovcharenko	2:0 ✺
27.09.24	Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Oleksii Krutykh	2:0 ✺
26.09.24	Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Andrea Guerrieri	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWLWW
- Gilles Arnaud Bailly
ITF Tournaments
02.10.24	Giuseppe La Vela - Gilles Arnaud Bailly	0:2 ✺
30.09.24	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Franco Agamenone	2:1 ✺
24.09.24	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Mika Brunold	0:2 ✺
27.08.24	Elgin Khoeblal - Gilles Arnaud Bailly	2:1 ✺
21.08.24	Noah Schlagenhauf - Gilles Arnaud Bailly	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWLLL

Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Gilles Arnaud Bailly: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide