Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bari - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 28 September 2026, Monday


	Oleksandr Ovcharenko		Pierluigi Basile

	1	2
			Watch
	2.15	1.60
	2.17	1.61	Watch
	2.15	1.62	Watch
	2.18	1.61
	2.16	1.62	Watch
	2.17	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.6)	1.61 ↑ (1.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oleksandr Ovcharenko
42.7%

Pierluigi Basile
57.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

64.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.2%

71.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oleksandr Ovcharenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Oleksandr Ovcharenko's performance.

Pierluigi Basile has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pierluigi Basile might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oleksandr Ovcharenko than the current prediction. (-14.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Oleksandr Ovcharenko that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pierluigi Basile than the current prediction. (+14.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pierluigi Basile could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Pierluigi Basile Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ovcharenko is ranked ATP: 615., and Basile is ranked ATP: 547..

Each of the two players is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Basile may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Basile holding a narrow advantage.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oleksandr Ovcharenko
ATP Challenger
27.09.26	Filip Misolic - Oleksandr Ovcharenko	Misolic F. Retired ✺
04.09.26	Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Georgii Kravchenko	0:2 ✺
02.09.26	Pol Martin Tiffon - Oleksandr Ovcharenko	1:2 ✺
01.09.26	Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Robert Strombachs	2:0 ✺
31.08.26	Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Franco Ribero	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 ?LWWW
- Pierluigi Basile
ATP Challenger
27.09.26	Kai Wehnelt - Pierluigi Basile	1:2 ✺
21.09.26	Pierluigi Basile - Giovanni Oradini	1:2 ✺
20.09.26	Pierluigi Basile - Guillermo Tunas	2:0 ✺
15.09.26	Pierluigi Basile - Juan Cruz Martin Manzano	0:2 ✺
15.09.26	Pierluigi Basile - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLWL?

Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Pierluigi Basile: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide