Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Maribor (Slovenia), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 13 August 2024, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Maribor (Slovenia) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Oleksandr Ovcharenko		Toby Alex Kodat

	1	2
	2.15	1.65
	2.17	1.61	Watch
	2.25	1.57
	2.15	1.65	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.75)	1.62 ↑ (1.41)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oleksandr Ovcharenko
42.6%

Toby Alex Kodat
57.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.9%

66.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2%

67.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oleksandr Ovcharenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Oleksandr Ovcharenko's performance.

Toby Alex Kodat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Toby Alex Kodat might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oleksandr Ovcharenko than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Oleksandr Ovcharenko that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toby Alex Kodat than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Toby Alex Kodat could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Ovcharenko is ranked ATP: 491. Kodat is ranked ATP: 409.

Recent matches Ovcharenko is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kodat is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Ovcharenko could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Kodat will have a poor advantage in this game.

Our prediction for today's Kodat to win the game is with odds 1.41.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oleksandr Ovcharenko
ITF Tournaments
09.08.24	Carlos Sanchez Jover - Oleksandr Ovcharenko	2:1 ✺
08.08.24	Matthew Dellavedova - Oleksandr Ovcharenko	0:2 ✺
07.08.24	Gabriele Maria Noce - Oleksandr Ovcharenko	0:2 ✺
05.08.24	Ezequiel Simonit - Oleksandr Ovcharenko	Simonit E. retired ✺
31.07.24	Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Gianmarco Ferrari	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LWW?L
- Toby Alex Kodat
ATP Challenger
30.07.24	Toby Alex Kodat - Michael Vrbensky	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
27.07.24	Toby Alex Kodat - Peter Heller	2:0 ✺
26.07.24	Toby Alex Kodat - Louis Wessels	2:1 ✺
25.07.24	Toby Alex Kodat - Fred Simonsson	2:0 ✺
23.07.24	Toby Alex Kodat - Luca Castagnola	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWWWW

Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Toby Alex Kodat

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

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