Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Dublin, grass - 1/16-finals

Date: 16 June 2026, Tuesday


	Oliver Crawford		Daniil Glinka

	1	2
			Watch
	1.65	2.10
	1.65	2.1
	1.71	2.22
	1.63	2.14	Watch
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.66	2.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.84)	2.13 ↑ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oliver Crawford
56.1%

Daniil Glinka
43.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.8%

53.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oliver Crawford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Oliver Crawford's performance.

Daniil Glinka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Daniil Glinka might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oliver Crawford than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Oliver Crawford that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniil Glinka than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Daniil Glinka could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Oliver Crawford - Daniil Glinka Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Crawford is ranked ATP: 238. Glinka is ranked ATP: 170.

Crawford is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Glinka's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Glinka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Daniil Glinka - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oliver Crawford
ATP Challenger
14.06.26	Oliver Crawford - Edward Winter	2:0 ✺
08.06.26	Oliver Crawford - Hamish Stewart	0:2 ✺
07.06.26	Oliver Crawford - Mark Ceban	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
31.05.26	Oliver Crawford - Gianmarco Ferrari	2:0 ✺
30.05.26	Oliver Crawford - Sebastian Sorger	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLWWW
- Daniil Glinka
ATP Stuttgart
06.06.26	Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Daniil Glinka	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
28.05.26	Daniil Glinka - Liam Broady	1:2 ✺
26.05.26	Daniil Glinka - Stefan Latinovic	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
20.05.26	Daniil Glinka - Juan Carlos Prado Angelo	0:2 ✺
18.05.26	Robin Bertrand - Daniil Glinka	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLWLW

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