Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Nottingham 4, grass - Semi-finals

Date: 12 July 2025, Saturday


	Oliver Crawford		Jack Pinnington Jones

	1	2
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.3	1.55	Watch
	2.4	1.47	Watch
	2.61	1.53
			Watch
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.48	1.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (2.2)	1.51 ↓ (1.62)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oliver Crawford
38%

Jack Pinnington Jones
62%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

57.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

57.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oliver Crawford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Jack Pinnington Jones has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oliver Crawford than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jack Pinnington Jones than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Oliver Crawford - Jack Pinnington Jones Predictions

Users Predictions: Jack Pinnington Jones will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Crawford is ranked ATP: 248. Pinnington Jones is ranked ATP: 281.

Crawford has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Pinnington Jones is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Pinnington Jones may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Pinnington Jones might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Pinnington Jones will win today's game, with odds of 1.63.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oliver Crawford
ATP Challenger
11.07.25	Alastair Gray - Oliver Crawford	1:2 ✺
10.07.25	Ilya Ivashka - Oliver Crawford	0:2 ✺
08.07.25	Charles Broom - Oliver Crawford	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
30.06.25	Mattia Bellucci - Oliver Crawford	3:1 ✺
ATP Mallorca
21.06.25	Oliver Crawford - Ethan Quinn	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWWLL
- Jack Pinnington Jones
ATP Challenger
11.07.25	Jack Pinnington Jones - Edward Winter	2:1 ✺
09.07.25	Jack Pinnington Jones - Harry Wendelken	2:1 ✺
08.07.25	Jack Pinnington Jones - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
03.07.25	Flavio Cobolli - Jack Pinnington Jones	3:0 ✺
01.07.25	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Jack Pinnington Jones	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWWLW

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