Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Mataro, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 22 May 2026, Friday


	Oriol Roca Batalla		Nicolas Alvarez Varona

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	2	1.83
	1.98	1.72	Watch
	1.89	1.79	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.57)	1.78 ↓ (2.21)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oriol Roca Batalla
47.6%

Nicolas Alvarez Varona
52.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oriol Roca Batalla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Oriol Roca Batalla's form might have worsened.

Nicolas Alvarez Varona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nicolas Alvarez Varona's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oriol Roca Batalla than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Oriol Roca Batalla, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Alvarez Varona than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nicolas Alvarez Varona, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Oriol Roca Batalla - Nicolas Alvarez Varona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Batalla is ranked ATP: 372. Alvarez Varona is ranked ATP: 469.

Batalla is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Alvarez Varona has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Batalla may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Batalla is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Batalla won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Oriol Roca Batalla - the odds 1.57 are the expected chance of winning is 58.49%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Nicolas Alvarez Varona - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 41.51%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oriol Roca Batalla
ITF Tournaments
21.05.26	Oriol Roca Batalla - Pavel Lagutin	2:1 ✺
20.05.26	Oriol Roca Batalla - Ignacio Parisca	2:0 ✺
15.05.26	Iliyan Radulov - Oriol Roca Batalla	2:0 ✺
14.05.26	Thomas Gerbaud - Oriol Roca Batalla	0:2 ✺
13.05.26	Tomas Curras Abasolo - Oriol Roca Batalla	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WWLWW
- Nicolas Alvarez Varona
ITF Tournaments
21.05.26	Manel Lazaro Juncadella - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	0:2 ✺
20.05.26	Younes Lalami Laaroussi - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.05.26	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Daniel Vallejo	0:2 ✺
12.05.26	Jan-Lennard Struff - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
06.05.26	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Inaki Montes De La Torre	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Gijon
08.10.22	Oriol Roca Batalla - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	1:2
ITF Tournaments
09.09.15	Oriol Roca Batalla - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	2:0

Oriol Roca Batalla - Nicolas Alvarez Varona: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide