Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 VACARIA (BRAZIL), CLAY - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 3 December 2022, Saturday


	Orlando Luz		Eduardo Ribeiro

	1	2
			Watch
	1.65	2.05
	1.55	2.32
	1.61	2.1
	1.64	2.17
	1.67	2.1
	1.86	1.9	Watch
	1.67	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.75)	2.1 ↑ (1.94)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orlando Luz
55.8%

Eduardo Ribeiro
44.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2%

49.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orlando Luz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Eduardo Ribeiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orlando Luz than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Orlando Luz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eduardo Ribeiro than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Eduardo Ribeiro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Orlando Luz - Eduardo Ribeiro Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Luz will win (votes: 1 - 50%). Ribeiro will win (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Luz is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ribeiro is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Luz could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Luz won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Orlando Luz
ITF Tournaments
02.12.22	Orlando Luz - Joao Victor Couto Loureiro	2:0 ✺
01.12.22	Orlando Luz - Igor Gimenez	2:0 ✺
30.11.22	Orlando Luz - Enzo Fortes	2:0 ✺
22.11.22	Orlando Luz - Nicolas Zanellato	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.11.22	Mateus Alves - Orlando Luz	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WWWLL
- Eduardo Ribeiro
ITF Tournaments
02.12.22	Eduardo Ribeiro - Gonzalo Lama	2:0 ✺
01.12.22	Eduardo Ribeiro - Fernando Yamacita	2:1 ✺
30.11.22	Eduardo Ribeiro - Rafael Tosetto	2:1 ✺
27.11.22	Marcelo Zormann - Eduardo Ribeiro	0:2 ✺
25.11.22	Eduardo Ribeiro - Joao Victor Couto Loureiro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
27.08.22	Eduardo Ribeiro - Orlando Luz	2:1
19.08.22	Orlando Luz - Eduardo Ribeiro	1:2

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