Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: UMAG (CROATIA) - QUALIFICATION, CLAY - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 22 July 2023, Saturday


	Pablo Cuevas		Filip Misolic

	1	2
			Watch
	2.1	1.67
	2.1	1.7
	2.15	1.7
	2.19	1.71
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.29	1.57	Watch
	2.12	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.66)	1.67 ↑ (1.45)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pablo Cuevas
43.7%

Filip Misolic
56.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.3%

64.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

67%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pablo Cuevas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pablo Cuevas's performance.

Filip Misolic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Filip Misolic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pablo Cuevas than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pablo Cuevas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Filip Misolic than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Filip Misolic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Pablo Cuevas - Filip Misolic Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Cuevas will win (votes: 24 - 85.7%). Misolic will win (votes: 4 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cuevas: 72.7% – 98.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Cuevas is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Misolic is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Cuevas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Misolic will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Misolic to win the game is with odds 1.59.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pablo Cuevas
ATP Challenger
13.07.23	Hugo Gaston - Pablo Cuevas	2:0 ✺
11.07.23	Pablo Cuevas - Gauthier Onclin	2:0 ✺
05.07.23	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Pablo Cuevas	2:0 ✺
04.07.23	Stefano Travaglia - Pablo Cuevas	1:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
28.06.23	Pablo Cuevas - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWLWL
- Filip Misolic
ATP Bastad
21.07.23	Lorenzo Musetti - Filip Misolic	2:1 ✺
19.07.23	Filip Misolic - Jozef Kovalik	2:1 ✺
18.07.23	Dusan Lajovic - Filip Misolic	0:2 ✺
17.07.23	Filip Misolic - Damir Dzumhur	Dzumhur D. retired ✺
16.07.23	Filip Misolic - Karl Friberg	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWW?W

Pablo Cuevas - Filip Misolic: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide