Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: ANGERS (FRANCE), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 4 December 2023, Monday


	Patricia Maria Tig		Francesca Curmi

	1	2
			Watch
	2.35	1.57
	2.3	1.55	Watch
	2.5	1.54
	2.51	1.55
	2.25	1.57
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.5	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↑ (2.09)	1.55 ↓ (1.73)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Patricia Maria Tig
39.3%

Francesca Curmi
60.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

54.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47%

53%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Patricia Maria Tig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Patricia Maria Tig's form might have worsened.

Francesca Curmi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Francesca Curmi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Patricia Maria Tig than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Patricia Maria Tig, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francesca Curmi than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Francesca Curmi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

Patricia Maria Tig - Francesca Curmi Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Tig will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Curmi will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tig: 50.6% – 100%.

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Curmi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Curmi will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Patricia Maria Tig
ATP Challenger
27.11.23	Patricia Maria Tig - Nuria Parrizas Diaz	0:2 ✺
WTA Cluj Napoca
18.10.23	Patricia Maria Tig - Ekaterina Makarova	1:2 ✺
16.10.23	Patricia Maria Tig - Martha Matoula	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
06.10.23	Patricia Maria Tig - Margaux Rouvroy	1:2 ✺
05.10.23	Patricia Maria Tig - Emily Appleton	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLWLW
- Francesca Curmi
ATP Challenger
03.12.23	Alana Smith - Francesca Curmi	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
01.12.23	Francesca Curmi - Kristina Mladenovic	0:2 ✺
30.11.23	Tena Lukas - Francesca Curmi	0:2 ✺
29.11.23	Francesca Curmi - Kira Pavlova	2:1 ✺
16.11.23	Harmony Tan - Francesca Curmi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLWWL

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