Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 East Lansing, MI, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 August 2026, Tuesday


	Patrick Maloney		Bryce Nakashima

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Patrick Maloney
51%

Bryce Nakashima
49%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

56.8%

43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

47.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Patrick Maloney has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Patrick Maloney's form might have worsened.

Bryce Nakashima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bryce Nakashima's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Patrick Maloney than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bryce Nakashima than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Maloney is ranked ATP: 958. Nakashima is ranked ATP: 875.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Nakashima may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Patrick Maloney
ITF Tournaments
07.08.26	Evan Zhu - Patrick Maloney	2:0 ✺
06.08.26	Patrick Maloney - Johannus Monday	2:1 ✺
05.08.26	Patrick Maloney - Tygen Goldammer	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
20.07.26	Evan Zhu - Patrick Maloney	2:1 ✺
19.07.26	Patrick Maloney - Hiroki Moriya	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWWLW
- Bryce Nakashima
ATP Challenger
02.08.26	Bryce Nakashima - Mees Rottgering	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
30.07.26	Bryce Nakashima - Karim Bennani	0:2 ✺
29.07.26	Bryce Nakashima - Marko Miladinovic	2:0 ✺
08.07.26	Bryce Nakashima - Theodore Dean	0:2 ✺
05.07.26	Aidan Kim - Bryce Nakashima	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLWLW

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Patrick Maloney
ATP Challenger
23.10.26	Jenson Brooksby - Patrick Maloney	✺

Patrick Maloney - Bryce Nakashima: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide