Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Rancho Santa Fe, CA, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 8 July 2026, Wednesday


	Bryce Nakashima		Theodore Dean

	1	2
	1.20	3.90
	1.21	3.85
	1.22	4.33
	1.21	3.84	Watch
	1.21	4.25
	1.25	3.57	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↓ (1.31)	3.96 ↑ (3.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 19.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bryce Nakashima
76.5%

Theodore Dean
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.1%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.3%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bryce Nakashima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Theodore Dean has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bryce Nakashima than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bryce Nakashima that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Theodore Dean than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Theodore Dean could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bryce Nakashima - Theodore Dean Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Nakashima is ranked ATP: 1145. Dean is ranked ATP: 915.

Nakashima has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Dean has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Nakashima may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Nakashima is a strong favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bryce Nakashima
ITF Tournaments
05.07.26	Aidan Kim - Bryce Nakashima	0:2 ✺
04.07.26	Noah Zamora - Bryce Nakashima	0:2 ✺
03.07.26	Bryce Nakashima - Vignesh Gogineni	Nakashima B. Walkover ✺
02.07.26	Maxwell Exsted - Bryce Nakashima	0:2 ✺
01.07.26	Bryce Nakashima - Nav Dayal	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WW?WW
- Theodore Dean
ITF Tournaments
03.07.26	Aidan Kim - Theodore Dean	2:0 ✺
02.07.26	Rafael De Alba - Theodore Dean	0:2 ✺
30.06.26	Rudy Quan - Theodore Dean	0:2 ✺
11.06.26	Maxwell Exsted - Theodore Dean	2:1 ✺
10.06.26	Vit Kalina - Theodore Dean	Kalina V. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWWL?

Bryce Nakashima - Theodore Dean: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide