Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Australian Open (Australia), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 16 January 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Bulgaria	03:45	Max
Croatia	02:45	Max
Czech Republic	02:45	Max
Denmark	02:45	Max
Finland	03:45	Max
France	02:45	Max
Germany	02:45	Discovery+
Hungary	02:45	Max
Italy	02:45	Discovery+
Norway	02:45	MAX
Poland	02:45	Max
Romania	03:45	Max
Serbia	02:45	Max
Slovenia	02:45	Max
Sweden	02:45	Max
United Kingdom	01:45	Discovery+ UK


	Paula Badosa		Marta Kostyuk

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.42	2.8
	1.43	2.85	Watch
	1.41	2.91	Watch
	1.4	2.9
	1.45	2.99	Watch
	1.43	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.62)	2.86 ↑ (2.3)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paula Badosa
66.8%

Marta Kostyuk
33.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

58.7%

41.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paula Badosa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Paula Badosa's performance.

Marta Kostyuk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Marta Kostyuk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.6%	0%	15.4%

Paula Badosa - Marta Kostyuk Predictions

Users Predictions: Paula Badosa will win (22 of 26 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.75% – 98.49%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Badosa is ranked WTA: 12. Kostyuk is ranked WTA: 18.

Recent matches Badosa is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Badosa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Badosa will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Badosa won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:1 (average 1.5:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paula Badosa
WTA Australian Open
15.01.25	Paula Badosa - Talia Gibson	2:0 ✺
12.01.25	Paula Badosa - Xin Yu Wang	2:0 ✺
WTA Adelaide
08.01.25	Ashlyn Krueger - Paula Badosa	2:1 ✺
06.01.25	Peyton Stearns - Paula Badosa	1:2 ✺
WTA Brisbane
30.12.24	Paula Badosa - Elina Avanesyan	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WWLWL
- Marta Kostyuk
WTA Australian Open
15.01.25	Jule Niemeier - Marta Kostyuk	0:2 ✺
13.01.25	Nao Hibino - Marta Kostyuk	1:2 ✺
WTA Adelaide
07.01.25	Marta Kostyuk - Ashlyn Krueger	1:2 ✺
WTA Brisbane
01.01.25	Yue Yuan - Marta Kostyuk	2:0 ✺
WTA Wuhan
09.10.24	Cori Gauff - Marta Kostyuk	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Wimbledon
07.07.23	Marta Kostyuk - Paula Badosa	Badosa P. retired
WTA Roma
14.05.23	Paula Badosa - Marta Kostyuk	2:0
WTA Australian Open
20.01.22	Marta Kostyuk - Paula Badosa	1:2
10.01.19	Marta Kostyuk - Paula Badosa	0:2

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paula Badosa
WTA Guangzhou
29.10.26	Paula Badosa - Harriet Dart	✺

Paula Badosa - Marta Kostyuk