Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santiago, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 13 January 2026, Tuesday


	Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos		Bastian Malla

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	2.34	1.52	Watch
	2.38	1.53
	2.34	1.53	Watch
	2.36	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (1.83)	1.52 ↓ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos
39.2%

Bastian Malla
60.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3%

41.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos's form might have worsened.

Bastian Malla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bastian Malla's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos than the current prediction. (+19.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bastian Malla than the current prediction. (-19.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bastian Malla, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Saraiva Dos Santos is ranked ATP: 563. Malla is ranked ATP: 1048.

Recent performances by Saraiva Dos Santos have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Malla is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Malla might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Malla will win today's game, with odds of 1.49.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Saraiva Dos Santos won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos
ATP Challenger
25.11.25	Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos - Nicolas Barrientos	1:2 ✺
19.11.25	Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos - Federico Agustin Gomez	0:2 ✺
18.11.25	Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos - Lucas Yunez	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
14.11.25	Jose Pereira - Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos	2:0 ✺
13.11.25	Gabriel Schenekenberg - Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLWLW
- Bastian Malla
ITF Tournaments
26.11.25	Alessio Vasquez Gehrke - Bastian Malla	Malla B. retired ✺
22.11.25	Bastian Malla - Benjamin Torrealba	Malla B. retired ✺
21.11.25	Felix Corwin - Bastian Malla	0:2 ✺
20.11.25	Luka Bojicic Ono - Bastian Malla	0:2 ✺
19.11.25	Santiago Pedro Franchini - Bastian Malla	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 ??WWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
16.09.25	Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos - Bastian Malla	Malla B. retired

Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos - Bastian Malla: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide