Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Maceio, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 21 October 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Maceio 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos		Bastian Malla

	1	2
	1.98	1.72	Watch
	1.97	1.81
	1.87	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.07)	1.77 ↑ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos
47.7%

Bastian Malla
52.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.4%

55.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Bastian Malla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bastian Malla than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

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Preview

Saraiva Dos Santos is ranked ATP: 426., and Malla is ranked ATP: 804..

Each of the two players is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Saraiva Dos Santos may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Saraiva Dos Santos has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:1 (averaging 1:0.5 goals per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos - the odds 2.07 are the expected chance of winning is 44.35%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos
ATP Challenger
11.10.26	Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos - Santiago De La Fuente	0:2 ✺
29.09.26	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos	2:1 ✺
28.09.26	Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos - Gabriel Schenekenberg	2:0 ✺
27.09.26	Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos - Augusto Scheidt	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
20.09.26	Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos - Nicolas Zanellato	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLWWW
- Bastian Malla
ATP Challenger
21.09.26	Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez - Bastian Malla	Malla B. Retired ✺
21.09.26	Ezequiel Monferrer - Bastian Malla	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
01.09.26	Ian Vertberger - Bastian Malla	1:2 ✺
29.08.26	Bastian Malla - Carlos Maria Zarate	1:2 ✺
28.08.26	Bastian Malla - Maximo Zeitune	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 ?WWLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
13.01.26	Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos - Bastian Malla	2:1
16.09.25	Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos - Bastian Malla	Malla B. retired

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bastian Malla
ITF Tournaments
29.10.26	Nicolas Bruna - Bastian Malla	✺

Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos - Bastian Malla