Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Santiago 3 (Chile), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 3 December 2024, Tuesday


	Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos		Guido Ivan Justo

	1	2
	2.8	1.36
	2.7	1.39
	2.74	1.4	Watch
	2.77	1.4	Watch
	2.7	1.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↑ (2.24)	1.39 ↓ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos
33.6%

Guido Ivan Justo
66.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

58.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

55.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos's form might have worsened.

Guido Ivan Justo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Guido Ivan Justo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guido Ivan Justo than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Guido Ivan Justo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Saraiva Dos Santos is ranked ATP: 807. Justo is ranked ATP: 469.

Two players are playing changeable.

Saraiva Dos Santos could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Justo will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos
ATP Challenger
24.11.24	Pedro Boscardin Dias - Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos	2:1 ✺
19.11.24	Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos - Thiago Monteiro	0:2 ✺
18.11.24	Fernando Romboli - Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos	0:2 ✺
17.11.24	Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos - Bautista Vilicich	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
16.11.24	Tristan McCormick - Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LLWWL
- Guido Ivan Justo
ITF Tournaments
22.11.24	Guido Ivan Justo - Juan Estevez	0:2 ✺
21.11.24	Guido Ivan Justo - Maximo Zeitune	2:0 ✺
19.11.24	Guido Ivan Justo - Agustin Libre	2:0 ✺
15.11.24	Guido Ivan Justo - Mathys Erhard	0:2 ✺
14.11.24	Guido Ivan Justo - Bautista Vilicich	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWWLW

Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos - Guido Ivan Justo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide