Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Kosice - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 24 May 2026, Sunday


	Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos		Rafael Izquierdo Luque

	1	2
	1.71	2.12
	1.69	2.04	Watch
	1.69	2.02
	1.82	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.82)	2 ↑ (1.82)

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos
53.7%

Rafael Izquierdo Luque
46.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

57.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Rafael Izquierdo Luque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rafael Izquierdo Luque than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rafael Izquierdo Luque could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos - Rafael Izquierdo Luque Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Saraiva Dos Santos will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Saraiva Dos Santos is ranked ATP: 505. Izquierdo Luque is ranked ATP: 799.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Izquierdo Luque may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos - the odds 1.82 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos
ATP Challenger
19.05.26	Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos - Denis Yevseyev	1:2 ✺
18.05.26	Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos - Melih Anavatan	2:0 ✺
17.05.26	Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos - Toprak Avcibasi	2:0 ✺
10.05.26	Edas Butvilas - Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos	2:1 ✺
05.05.26	Reda Bennani - Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LWWLL
- Rafael Izquierdo Luque
ITF Tournaments
01.05.26	Rafael Izquierdo Luque - Lucas Poullain	Izquierdo Luque R. Retired ✺
30.04.26	Rafael Izquierdo Luque - Adrien Burdet	2:0 ✺
29.04.26	Tiago Torres - Rafael Izquierdo Luque	0:2 ✺
22.04.26	Henry Searle - Rafael Izquierdo Luque	2:0 ✺
17.04.26	Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez - Rafael Izquierdo Luque	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 ?WWLL

Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos - Rafael Izquierdo Luque: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide