Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 LITIJA (SLOVENIA), CLAY - FINAL

Date: 18 June 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: LITIJA (SLOVENIA) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Pawel Cias		Alvaro Guillen Meza

	1	2
	1.99	1.79
	1.91	1.8
	1.93	1.78	Watch
	1.97	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.75)	1.77 ↓ (1.98)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pawel Cias
47.6%

Alvaro Guillen Meza
52.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.2%

46.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

46.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pawel Cias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pawel Cias's form might have worsened.

Alvaro Guillen Meza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alvaro Guillen Meza's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pawel Cias than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pawel Cias, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alvaro Guillen Meza than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alvaro Guillen Meza, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Recent matches Cias is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Guillen Meza is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Guillen Meza could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's Guillen Meza to win the game is with odds 1.77.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pawel Cias
ITF Tournaments
16.06.23	Admir Kalender - Pawel Cias	Kalender A. retired ✺
15.06.23	Pawel Cias - Tadeas Paroulek	2:0 ✺
13.06.23	Pawel Cias - Sebastian Dominko	2:0 ✺
01.06.23	Lautaro Midon - Pawel Cias	2:0 ✺
30.05.23	Pawel Cias - Ignacio Monzon	Monzon I. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 ?WWL?
- Alvaro Guillen Meza
ITF Tournaments
16.06.23	Bor Artnak - Alvaro Guillen Meza	0:2 ✺
15.06.23	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Enrico Dalla Valle	2:0 ✺
14.06.23	Matteo Fondriest - Alvaro Guillen Meza	0:2 ✺
08.06.23	Dragos Nicolae Madaras - Alvaro Guillen Meza	2:1 ✺
07.06.23	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Tyler Zink	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWWLW

Pawel Cias - Alvaro Guillen Meza

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

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