Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Porto (Portugal) - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 28 July 2024, Sunday

Referee: Botelho J. (Por)


	Pedro Araujo		Daniil Glinka

	1	2
			Watch
	1.95	1.72
	2.04	1.7	Watch
	2	1.77
	2.06	1.72
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.03	1.73	Watch
	2.02	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.37)	1.71 ↑ (1.52)

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pedro Araujo
45.8%

Daniil Glinka
54.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

60.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

59.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pedro Araujo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pedro Araujo's performance.

Daniil Glinka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Daniil Glinka might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pedro Araujo than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pedro Araujo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniil Glinka than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Daniil Glinka could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Pedro Araujo - Daniil Glinka Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Araujo is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Glinka is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Araujo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Glinka will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Araujo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pedro Araujo
ITF Tournaments
27.07.24	Pedro Araujo - Joao Domingues	0:2 ✺
26.07.24	Pedro Araujo - Vasco Leote Prata	2:0 ✺
25.07.24	Pedro Araujo - Alan Magadan	2:0 ✺
24.07.24	Pedro Araujo - Michele Ribecai	2:1 ✺
18.07.24	Pedro Araujo - Michele Ribecai	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWWWL
- Daniil Glinka
ATP Challenger
21.07.24	James Kent Trotter - Daniil Glinka	2:1 ✺
14.07.24	Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar - Daniil Glinka	Canceled ✺
07.07.24	Quinn Vandecasteele - Daniil Glinka	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
13.06.24	Tiago Pereira - Daniil Glinka	2:0 ✺
11.06.24	Ricardo Batista - Daniil Glinka	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 L?LLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
26.05.23	Pedro Araujo - Daniil Glinka	0:2

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