Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Phan Thiet 2 - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday


	Petr Bar-Biryukov		Lachlan McFadzean

	1	2
			Watch
	1.08	6.4
	1.09	7.29
	1.07	7.01	Watch
	1.08	7
	1.08	6.25	Watch
	1.06	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.08 ↓ (1.84)	6.91 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Petr Bar-Biryukov
86.5%

Lachlan McFadzean
13.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

58.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Petr Bar-Biryukov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+36.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Petr Bar-Biryukov's performance.

Lachlan McFadzean has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-36.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lachlan McFadzean might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Petr Bar-Biryukov than the current prediction. (-44.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Petr Bar-Biryukov that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lachlan McFadzean than the current prediction. (+44.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lachlan McFadzean could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Petr Bar Biryukov - Lachlan McFadzean Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Bar-Biryukov is ranked ATP: 323. McFadzean is ranked ATP: 1266.

Bar-Biryukov is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

McFadzean's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Bar-Biryukov may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Petr Bar-Biryukov - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50.14%, but this team recently wins 62% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Petr Bar-Biryukov
ATP Challenger
22.01.26	Petr Bar-Biryukov - Lilian Marmousez	0:2 ✺
20.01.26	Marek Gengel - Petr Bar-Biryukov	1:2 ✺
19.01.26	Petr Bar-Biryukov - Fajing Sun	2:0 ✺
14.01.26	Petr Bar-Biryukov - Maximus Jones	Bar Biryukov P. retired ✺
12.01.26	Petr Bar-Biryukov - Matteo Martineau	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 LWW?W
- Lachlan McFadzean
ATP Challenger
17.01.26	Lachlan McFadzean - Michele Ribecai	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
02.12.25	Lucien Forrestier - Lachlan McFadzean	0:2 ✺
27.11.25	Lorenzo Lorusso - Lachlan McFadzean	2:1 ✺
26.11.25	Lachlan McFadzean - Tymur Bieldiugin	2:0 ✺
25.11.25	Ha Minh Duc Vu - Lachlan McFadzean	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWLWW

Petr Bar-Biryukov - Lachlan McFadzean: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide