Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Phan Thiet, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 22 January 2026, Thursday


	Petr Bar-Biryukov		Lilian Marmousez

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.35	1.53	Watch
	2.37	1.52
	2.65	1.43	Watch
	2.38	1.53
	2.32	1.54	Watch
	2.28	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2)	1.53 ↓ (1.72)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Petr Bar-Biryukov
39.2%

Lilian Marmousez
60.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

53.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

51.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Petr Bar-Biryukov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Petr Bar-Biryukov's form might have worsened.

Lilian Marmousez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lilian Marmousez's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Petr Bar-Biryukov than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Petr Bar-Biryukov, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lilian Marmousez than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lilian Marmousez, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Petr Bar Biryukov - Lilian Marmousez Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Marmousez (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Bar-Biryukov is ranked ATP: 323. Marmousez is ranked ATP: 314.

Right now, both players are showing solid form.

Bar-Biryukov may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Marmousez is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Marmousez will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Petr Bar-Biryukov
ATP Challenger
20.01.26	Marek Gengel - Petr Bar-Biryukov	1:2 ✺
19.01.26	Petr Bar-Biryukov - Fajing Sun	2:0 ✺
14.01.26	Petr Bar-Biryukov - Maximus Jones	Bar Biryukov P. retired ✺
12.01.26	Petr Bar-Biryukov - Matteo Martineau	2:1 ✺
05.01.26	Petr Bar-Biryukov - Harold Mayot	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 WW?WL
- Lilian Marmousez
ATP Challenger
21.01.26	Lilian Marmousez - Timofey Skatov	2:0 ✺
19.01.26	Lilian Marmousez - James Kent Trotter	2:1 ✺
29.11.25	Andrej Martin - Lilian Marmousez	2:1 ✺
28.11.25	Lilian Marmousez - Filip Cristian Jianu	2:0 ✺
27.11.25	Miguel Damas - Lilian Marmousez	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWLWW

Petr Bar-Biryukov - Lilian Marmousez: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide