Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Dobrich (Bulgaria), clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 22 August 2024, Thursday

Referee: Yovchev I. (Bul)


	Petr Nesterov		Ivan Gakhov

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.05	1.7
	2.17	1.74
	2.17	1.7	Watch
			Watch
	2.24	1.59	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.45)	1.66 ↑ (1.48)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Petr Nesterov
43.3%

Ivan Gakhov
56.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

62.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

63.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Petr Nesterov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Petr Nesterov's performance.

Ivan Gakhov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ivan Gakhov might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Petr Nesterov than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Petr Nesterov that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ivan Gakhov than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ivan Gakhov could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Petr Nesterov - Ivan Gakhov Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Nesterov will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Gakhov will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nesterov: 64.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Nesterov is ranked ATP: 439. Gakhov is ranked ATP: 332.

Nesterov is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Gakhov is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gakhov could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Gakhov will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Petr Nesterov
ATP Challenger
21.08.24	Petr Nesterov - Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo	2:0 ✺
20.08.24	Cezar Cretu - Petr Nesterov	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
17.08.24	Petr Nesterov - Mika Brunold	0:2 ✺
16.08.24	Elmer Moeller - Petr Nesterov	1:2 ✺
15.08.24	Mischa Lanz - Petr Nesterov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WWLWW
- Ivan Gakhov
ATP Challenger
21.08.24	Valerio Aboian - Ivan Gakhov	1:2 ✺
19.08.24	Ivan Gakhov - Marvin Moeller	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
16.08.24	Ivan Gakhov - Bor Artnak	0:2 ✺
13.08.24	Ivan Gakhov - Vito Tonejc	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.07.24	Ivan Gakhov - Marvin Moeller	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWLWL

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