Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Satu Mare 2 (Romania), clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 20 September 2024, Friday


	Petr Nesterov		Tom Gentzsch

	1	2
	1.67	2.05
	1.62	2.12
	1.7	2.1
	1.63	2.14	Watch
	1.62	2.2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.62	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.53)	2.13 ↓ (2.35)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Petr Nesterov
56.5%

Tom Gentzsch
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.6%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.2%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Petr Nesterov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Tom Gentzsch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Petr Nesterov than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Petr Nesterov, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tom Gentzsch than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tom Gentzsch, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Nesterov is ranked ATP: 411. Gentzsch is ranked ATP: 476.

Recent matches Nesterov is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gentzsch is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Nesterov could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Nesterov will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Petr Nesterov
ITF Tournaments
19.09.24	Petr Nesterov - Marcell Bartakovics	2:1 ✺
18.09.24	Petr Nesterov - Eduard Silviu Schipor	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group II
15.09.24	Petr Nesterov - Cesar Cruz	Canceled ✺
14.09.24	Petr Nesterov - Marcelo Arevalo	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.09.24	Petr Nesterov - Max Hans Rehberg	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 WW?LL
- Tom Gentzsch
ITF Tournaments
19.09.24	Mihai Razvan Marinescu - Tom Gentzsch	0:2 ✺
18.09.24	Elio Jose Ribeiro Lago - Tom Gentzsch	0:2 ✺
08.09.24	Tom Gentzsch - Alec Beckley	2:0 ✺
07.09.24	Tom Gentzsch - Elgin Khoeblal	2:1 ✺
06.09.24	Tom Gentzsch - Brian Bozemoj	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWWWW

Petr Nesterov - Tom Gentzsch: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide